Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Arkansas
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#303
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#280
Pace75.0#50
Improvement-0.9#222

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#268
First Shot-1.7#237
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#296
Layup/Dunks-3.7#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#100
Freethrows-0.3#213
Improvement+0.4#165

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#304
First Shot-4.9#312
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#219
Layups/Dunks-2.1#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#310
Freethrows-1.3#272
Improvement-1.2#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 6.0
Quad 32.0 - 3.02.0 - 9.0
Quad 49.0 - 10.011.0 - 19.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 67   @ Missouri L 55-68 5%     0 - 1 -2.6 -12.1 +9.7
  Nov 15, 2018 93   @ Pittsburgh L 71-97 7%     0 - 2 -17.9 -3.9 -11.2
  Nov 18, 2018 249   @ Troy L 77-82 28%     0 - 3 -7.6 -0.1 -7.4
  Nov 24, 2018 102   @ Saint Louis L 61-73 8%     0 - 4 -4.5 -6.8 +2.6
  Nov 28, 2018 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 78-65 43%     1 - 4 +6.3 -3.4 +8.6
  Dec 05, 2018 19   @ Louisville L 41-86 2%     1 - 5 -27.3 -23.3 -2.5
  Dec 08, 2018 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 85-82 24%     2 - 5 +1.8 +12.3 -10.5
  Dec 16, 2018 169   @ New Mexico L 70-82 16%     2 - 6 -9.8 -6.5 -2.6
  Dec 19, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 53-86 3%     2 - 7 -19.1 -14.4 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2018 79   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-82 6%     2 - 8 +0.0 +2.4 -2.2
  Jan 02, 2019 288   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-87 34%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -16.4 -4.8 -10.3
  Jan 05, 2019 237   @ SE Louisiana W 73-71 25%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +0.4 -1.4 +1.7
  Jan 09, 2019 177   Sam Houston St. L 69-78 32%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -12.7 -9.7 -2.7
  Jan 12, 2019 224   Lamar W 75-68 42%     4 - 10 2 - 2 +0.7 +3.0 -1.9
  Jan 16, 2019 344   @ Incarnate Word W 77-60 64%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +4.7 -1.5 +7.0
  Jan 19, 2019 306   Nicholls St. W 74-68 62%     6 - 10 4 - 2 -5.8 -4.7 -1.0
  Jan 23, 2019 253   New Orleans W 76-71 49%     7 - 10 5 - 2 -3.2 -0.8 -2.6
  Jan 26, 2019 157   @ Abilene Christian L 56-79 14%     7 - 11 5 - 3 -19.9 -16.7 -2.1
  Jan 30, 2019 302   @ Stephen F. Austin L 99-105 OT 39%     7 - 12 5 - 4 -11.8 +7.7 -18.5
  Feb 02, 2019 337   Northwestern St. L 75-80 78%     7 - 13 5 - 5 -21.6 -9.4 -11.7
  Feb 09, 2019 237   SE Louisiana L 67-75 45%     7 - 14 5 - 6 -15.2 -6.6 -8.9
  Feb 13, 2019 284   Houston Baptist L 71-75 54%     7 - 15 5 - 7 -13.7 -15.4 +2.1
  Feb 20, 2019 331   @ McNeese St. L 75-83 OT 52%     7 - 16 5 - 8 -17.0 -11.3 -4.9
  Feb 23, 2019 306   @ Nicholls St. L 57-100 41%     7 - 17 5 - 9 -49.2 -21.8 -25.8
  Feb 27, 2019 302   Stephen F. Austin W 92-74 61%     8 - 17 6 - 9 +6.7 +6.2 -1.2
  Mar 02, 2019 157   Abilene Christian L 55-67 28%     8 - 18 6 - 10 -14.4 -14.5 -0.6
  Mar 06, 2019 177   @ Sam Houston St. W 91-87 16%     9 - 18 7 - 10 +5.9 +21.8 -15.7
  Mar 09, 2019 337   @ Northwestern St. W 70-63 60%     10 - 18 8 - 10 -4.0 -3.9 +0.0
  Mar 13, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-53 45%     11 - 18 +12.9 +6.1 +8.6
  Mar 14, 2019 237   SE Louisiana L 65-79 34%     11 - 19 -18.4 -4.1 -15.4
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%